Game Result Predictions
Saturday, March 17
Saturday, March 17
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
NCAA - Second Round - PPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh, PA) | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
Rhode Island (26-8) | 62 | 72 | +8.0 | 24% | ✔ | 71 | +9.5 | 3% | ✔ | |
Duke (29-8) | 87 | 80 | -8.0 | 76% | 80 | -9.5 | 97% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
NIT - Second Round - South Bend, IN | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
Penn State (26-13) | 73 | 69 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 70 | -3.5 | 79% | ✔ | |
Notre Dame (20-15) | 63 | 70 | -1.0 | 54% | 67 | +3.5 | 21% |
Saturday, March 17 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 50%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 50%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Overall Results (4543 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 76%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 74%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 76%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 74%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.